THE REAL Flashpoint Future: Wars of the next 50 years

[Brent]

Definite: Arab invasion of Israel.
Likely: China-Taiwan
Possible: Korea-Korea
USA-China: very possible
End of the World as we know it: Possible.

Quechuan conquest of South America
American Indian war over gambling
Vatican v. Tonga over Macao

[Lancer]

Where is the 'Economic colapse causes Germany to invade everybody' option?

[BeBMan]

[Zylka]

Well China vs. India is seeming all the less likely today; the two countries having announced a "roadmap to peace" regarding old Himalayan border disputes. Good stuff for a third of the World's population

[lord of the mark]

Romulans vs Earth.

[el freako]

Probable: (50% chance to happen in time period)

Pakistan-India (Conventional war with no real gains to either side)
Chinese confrontation with the US & Japan.
China-Taiwan (which could easily lead to the above)
Conflicts with Iraq, Israel and Egypt with their neighbours over water rights.
US intervention into Latin America due to drugs and/or resources production.
'Preemptive' action by the US, Russia and China against states they deem to be 'dangerous'.


Possible: (10% chance to happen in time period)

US-EU war over the issue of international law vs. the sovereignty of nation-states. (this could be especially bloody as it combines two very large powers with the driving force of divergent ideologies)
Russian civil war
India-Pakistan nuclear war
Conflict with China and Russia over influence in central asia.
EU conflict with Muslim states of middle east and Maghreb.
Chinese civil war
Indian civil/religious war
Russian-EU conflict


Unlikely: (1% chance to happen in time period)

US civil war
EU civil war
Global nuclear war


Edit: put in chances to happen

[TCO]

Originally posted by Patroklos
In a anti-submarine drill the sub will launch a green flare to the surface when it gets a fireing solution on a surface ship.

What TCO doesn't like to point out is that firing on a surface ship, especially when we have a helo, gives its position away and you get an ASROC on your head in no time.

I'd take a 637 up against a CVBG if there was no NAU and no staged exercise. Total free play.

[Saras]

--"US-EU war over the issue of international law vs. the sovereignty of nation-states. (this could be especially bloody as it combines two very large powers with the driving force of divergent ideologies)"

I'd put that in "unlikely".

[Riesstiu IV]

The EU and US may not get along but I find it hard to believe that the two would fight each other. No American would support such a measure... except maybe for Tom DeLay after he builds a private concrete bunker. The carnage and devastation from this war would be enormous.

We Americans like to fight crappy little countries that offer little resistance but lots of $$$ and hopefully a puppet democracy as a side effect.

[BeBMan]

War between Eu and US would be unbelievable stupid.

[Riesstiu IV]

Seriously if that ever happened we should have EU and US politicians fight each other to the death, not the soldiers and the people. The differences between the average EU and US citizen are too minute and stupid to go to war over.

[realpolitic]

Originally posted by Lancer
Where is the 'Economic colapse causes Germany to invade everybody' option?

How about approval rating drops below Jack the Ripper causes Bush to invade everyone?

[Saras]

Originally posted by realpolitic


How about approval rating drops below Jack the Ripper causes Bush to invade everyone?

[Saras]

Notice the bolding.

[Sandman]

But go ahead, look into who supplies the lion share of UN peacekeepers around the world

Bangladesh, I believe.