2005 ACS Academy Awards Pool

[reismark]

The Academy of Motion Picture Arts & Sciences have made their choices. As much as we may agree or disagree with some or all of them, it's now time for us to predict how much more they'll screw up in choosing winners out of nominees. (And I mean that in the most loving sense of "screw up" one can think of.)

How it works: In this thread, post a list of your predicted winners from 1 to 24 with the appropriate letter for each one. The submission deadline is one hour before showtime: 7:00 PM EST on Sunday, February 27, 2005. Once the show is over, ballots will be scored as follows:

• Incorrect nominees will receive no score.
• Each of the 24 winning nominees will be assigned a base value equivalent to the number of ballots that did not select the nominee, plus one. Then, depending on the award in question, they will receive a multipler as follows:
  
  -- The major awards (1-8) will receive a 2x multipler.
  -- The technical awards (9-18) will receive a 1.5x multipler, with scores rounded to the nearest whole number.
  -- The minor awards (19-24) will receive no multipler.
  
  So as a example: 22 eligible ballots are received. 14 select Bob Ringwood's costume design for Troy, and it ends up winning. The point value that goes to those who made that selection would be (22 - 14 + 1) x 1.5 = 13.5, which rounds to 14 points.
• Each ballot's score is then determined by adding up the point values of the nominees the ballot has correct. Highest score wins.

It couldn't be any simpler than that. Good luck, and have fun!

/me hands Jim Carrey a voodoo doll...

1. BEST PICTURE

1. The Aviator
2. Finding Neverland
3. Million Dollar Baby
4. Ray
5. Sideways

2. BEST DIRECTOR

1. Clint Eastwood; Million Dollar Baby
2. Taylor Hackford; Ray
3. Mike Leigh; Vera Drake
4. Alexander Payne; Sideways
5. Martin Scorsese; The Aviator

3. BEST ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE

1. Don Cheadle; Hotel Rwanda
2. Johnny Depp; Finding Neverland
3. Leonardo DiCaprio; The Aviator
4. Clint Eastwood; Million Dollar Baby
5. Jamie Foxx; Ray

4. BEST ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE

1. Annette Bening; Being Julia
2. Catalina Sandino Moreno; Maria Full of Grace
3. Imelda Staunton; Vera Drake
4. Hilary Swank; Million Dollar Baby
5. Kate Winslet; Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind

5. BEST ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE

1. Alan Alda; The Aviator
2. Thomas Haden Church; Sideways
3. Jamie Foxx; Collateral
4. Morgan Freeman; Million Dollar Baby
5. Clive Owen; Closer

6. BEST ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE

1. Cate Blanchett; The Aviator
2. Laura Linney; Kinsey
3. Virginia Madsen; Sideways
4. Sophie Okonedo; Hotel Rwanda
5. Natalie Portman; Closer

7. BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

1. Brad Bird; The Incredibles
2. Charlie Kaufman, Michel Gondry & Pierre Bismuth; Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind
3. Mike Leigh; Vera Drake
4. John Logan; The Aviator
5. Keir Pearson & Terry George; Hotel Rwanda

8. BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

1. Paul Haggis; Million Dollar Baby
2. Richard Linklater, Julie Delpy, Ethan Hawke & Kim Krizan; Before Sunset
3. David Magee; Finding Neverland
4. Alexander Payne & Jim Taylor; Sideways
5. José Rivera; The Motorcycle Diaries

9. BEST ART DIRECTION

1. Aline Bonetto; A Very Long Engagement
2. Dante Ferretti & Francesca Lo Schiavo; The Aviator
3. Rick Heinrichs & Cheryl Carasik; Lemony Snicket's A Series of Unfortunate Events
4. Gemma Jackson & Trisha Edwards; Finding Neverland
5. Anthony Pratt & Celia Bobak; The Phantom of the Opera

10. BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

1. Bruno Delbonnel; A Very Long Engagement
2. Caleb Deschanel; The Passion of the Christ
3. John Mathieson; The Phantom of the Opera
4. Robert Richardson; The Aviator
5. Zhao Xiaoding; House of Flying Daggers

11. BEST COSTUME DESIGN

1. Colleen Atwood; Lemony Snicket's A Series of Unfortunate Events
2. Alexandra Byrne; Finding Neverland
3. Sharen Davis; Ray
4. Sandy Powell; The Aviator
5. Bob Ringwood; Troy

12. BEST FILM EDITING

1. Matt Chesse; Finding Neverland
2. Joel Cox; Million Dollar Baby
3. Paul Hirsch; Ray
4. Jim Miller & Paul Rubell; Collateral
5. Thelma Schoonmaker; The Aviator

13. BEST MAKEUP

1. Jo Allen & Manuel García; The Sea Inside
2. Valli O'Reilly & Bill Corso; Lemony Snicket's A Series of Unfortunate Events
3. Keith Vanderlaan & Christien Tinsley; The Passion of the Christ

14. BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

1. John Debney; The Passion of the Christ
2. James Howard; The Village
3. Jan Kaczmarek; Finding Neverland
4. Thomas Newman; Lemony Snicket's A Series of Unfortunate Events
5. John Williams; Harry Potter & The Prizoner of Azkaban

15. BEST ORIGINAL SONG

1. "Accidentally in Love"; Shrek 2
2. "Al Otro Lado Del Río"; The Motorcycle Diaries
3. "Believe"; The Polar Express
4. "Learn to Be Lonely"; The Phantom of the Opera
5. "Look to Your Path (Vois Sur Ton Chemin)"; The Chorus (Les Choristes)

16. BEST SOUND EDITING

1. Paul Ottosson; Spider-Man 2
2. Michael Silvers & Randy Thorn; The Incredibles
3. Randy Thorn & Dennis Leonard; The Polar Express

17. BEST SOUND MIXING

1. Tom Fleischman & Petur Hliddal; The Aviator
2. Scott Millan, Greg Orloff, Bob Beemer & Steve Cantamessa, Ray
3. Kevin O’Connell, Greg Russell, Jeffrey Haboush & Joseph Geisinger; Spider-Man 2
4. Randy Thom, Tom Johnson, Dennis Sands & William Kaplan; The Polar Express
5. Randy Thom, Gary Rizzo & Doc Kane; The Incredibles

18. BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

1. John Dykstra, Scott Stokdyk, Anthony LaMolinara & John Frazier; Spider-Man 2
2. Roger Guyett, Tim Burke, John Richardson & Bill George; Harry Potter & The Prisoner of Azkaban
3. John Nelson, Andrew Jones, Erik Nash & Joe Letteri; I, Robot

19. BEST ANIMATED FEATURE FILM

1. The Incredibles
2. Shark Tale
3. Shrek 2

20. BEST ANIMATED SHORT FILM

1. Birthday Boy
2. Gopher Broke
3. Guard Dog
4. Lorenzo
5. Ryan

21. BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

1. Born into Brothels
2. The Story of the Weeping Camel
3. Super Size Me
4. Tupac: Resurrection
5. Twist of Fate

22. BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT SUBJECT

1. Autism Is a World
2. The Children of Leningradsky
3. Hardwood
4. Mighty Times: The Children's March
5. Sister Rose's Passion

23. BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM

1. As It Is in Heaven - Sweden
2. The Chorus (Les Choristes) - France
3. Downfall - Germany
4. The Sea Inside - Spain
5. Yesterday - South Africa

24. BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT FILM

1. Everything in This Country Must
2. Little Terrorist
3. 7:35 in the Morning (7:35 de la Mañana)
4. Two Cars, One Night
5. Wasp

[Dis]

I'm not sure how this works. Is this right? I haven't seen a single film, so all my choices are complete guesses.

1. A
2. E
3. E
4. D
5. C
6. E
7. B
8. D
9. B
10. B
11. E
12. D
13. C
14. A
15. D
16. A
17. E
18. A
19. A
20. C
21. C
22. B
23. E
24. B

[gjramsey]

I am game for this.

1. A
2. A
3. E
4. D
5. B
6. E
7. B
8. D
9. B
10. C
11. B
12. E
13. B
14. C
15. C
16. A
17. B
18. C
19. A
20. D
21. C
22. B
23. B
24. D

[Alex]

I love these pools.

1. A

2. E

3. E

4. D

5. D

6. E

7. B

8. D

9. B

10. D

11. D

12. E

13. B

14. A

15. A

16. C

17. D

18. A

19. A

20. C

21. A

22. B

23. D

24. A

[JohnT]

Re: 2005 ACS Academy Awards Pool

Reismark, can't you ever do a simple, plain contest? I mean, who cares if a bunch of Apolyahoo's end up tied in an Oscar picking contest? Why the need to assign points to various categories based upon ... whatever?

I mean, is this serious:

Incorrect nominees will receive no score.

Each of the 24 winning nominees will be assigned a base value equivalent to the number of ballots that did not select the nominee, plus one. Then, depending on the award in question, they will receive a multipler as follows:

-- The major awards (1-8) will receive a 2x multipler.
-- The technical awards (9-18) will receive a 1.5x multipler, with scores rounded to the nearest whole number.
-- The minor awards (19-24) will receive no multipler.

So as a example: 22 eligible ballots are received. 14 select Bob Ringwood's costume design for Troy, and it ends up winning. The point value that goes to those who made that selection would be (22 - 14 + 1) x 1.5 = 13.5, which rounds to 14 points.

Each ballot's score is then determined by adding up the point values of the nominees the ballot has correct. Highest score wins.

?

Or is this some sort of class assignment on game theory or game design? That would actually make sense.

[JohnT]

Here's my picks, btw.

1. BEST PICTURE
A - The Aviator

2. BEST DIRECTOR
E - Martin Scorsese; The Aviator

3. BEST ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE
E - Jamie Foxx, Ray

4. BEST ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE
A - Annette Bening; Being Julia

5. BEST ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
D - Morgan Freeman; Million Dollar Baby (changed from Alan Alda; The Aviator)

6. BEST ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
E - Natalie Portman; Closer

7. BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
B - Charlie Kaufman, Michel Gondry & Pierre Bismuth; Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind

8. BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
D - Alexander Payne & Jim Taylor; Sideways
(changed from Richard Linklater, Julie Delpy, Ethan Hawke & Kim Krizan; Before Sunset)

9. BEST ART DIRECTION
B - Dante Ferretti & Francesca Lo Schiavo; The Aviator

10. BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
D - Robert Richardson; The Aviator

11. BEST COSTUME DESIGN
B - Alexandra Byrne; Finding Neverland

12. BEST FILM EDITING
D - Jim Miller & Paul Rubell; Collateral (changed from Thelma Schoonmaker; The Aviator)

13. BEST MAKEUP
C - Keith Vanderlaan & Christien Tinsley; The Passion of the Christ

14. BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
C - Jan Kaczmarek; Finding Neverland

15. BEST ORIGINAL SONG
D - "Learn to be Lonely"; The Phantom of the Opera (changed from "Believe"; The Polar Express)

16. BEST SOUND EDITING
B - Michael Silvers & Randy Thorn; The Incredibles

17. BEST SOUND MIXING
A - Tom Fleischman & Petur Hliddal; The Aviator

18. BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
C - John Nelson, Andrew Jones, Erik Nash & Joe Letteri; I, Robot

19. BEST ANIMATED FEATURE FILM
A - The Incredibles

20. BEST ANIMATED SHORT FILM
C - Guard Dog

21. BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
C - Super Size Me

22. BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT SUBJECT
A - Autism Is a World

23. BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
B - The Chorus (Les Choristes) - France

24. BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT FILM
C - 7:35 in the Morning (7:35 de la Mañana)

[reismark]

We're getting close, people. Get your picks in soon!

I will be tomorrow...

[Dis]

I was just going to bump this thread (just got done reading the oscar articles on cnn.com).

I don't know why, but I'm actually interested in the oscars this year. Perhaps because I have an interest in a film I really liked, winning.

[Kassiopeia]

1. C
2. A
3. B
4. A
5. A
6. D
7. B
8. A
9. C
10. D
11. A
12. B
13. B
14. E
15. D
16. B
17. B
18. C
19. A
20. A
21. C
22. A
23. C
24. E

[Japher]

I got Aviator getting slammed



1. D
2. A
3. B
4. E
5. C
6. A
7. B
8. C
9. C
10. E
11. D
12. D
13. B
14. B
15. C
16. B
17. E
18. A
19. A
20. D
21. C
22. C
23. D
24. B

[joncha]

1. A
2. A
3. D
4. D
5. A
6. A
7. B
8. D
9. B
10. B
11. D
12. E
13. B
14. D
15. D
16. B
17. A
18. A
19. A
20. E
21. C
22. E
23. B
24. C

[Dis]

don't forget. academy awards tomorrow.

http://news.yahoo.com/news?tmpl=story&u=/ap/20050227/ap_en_tv/oscar_insider_rehearsals_4

[reismark]

Here's my ballot.

Check out my new blog, a bunch of incoherent nonsense, if you're interested in some very abbreviated meanderings about my picks.

1. C
2. E
3. E
4. D
5. D
6. C
7. B
8. D
9. B
10. E
11. B
12. B
13. B
14. C
15. D
16. B
17. C
18. A
19. A
20. B
21. A
22. E
23. D
24. B

[Berzerker]

Not having seen any of these, but since I can't resist a contest:

1 C
2 A
3 E
4 A
5 D
6 C
7 A
8 B
9 E
10 E
11 E
12 A
13 C
14 E
15 E
16 B
17 B
18 A
19 A
20 D
21 C
22 A
23 B
24 C

[DaShi]

What a sucky year for movies.