You have a caravel, you are exploring the world. You've gone the extra distance and you're carrying an explorer and a settler! Things are good, and hope is in your heart. A sunbeam cuts through the curtains as a warm breeze wafts them aside. A Robin alights on the sill and sings a song...
Then, from nowhere, a storm cloud appears, cutting out the sun. Hark, who goes thar? It's another caravel, the only other caravel on the entire ocean, and it sees yours, attacks and sinks it. A peal of thunder cracks outside your window, a stunned Robin drops dead in your lap. A cloudbust and a gust of wind throws the curtains on the floor by your feet, the burst of rain sprays across your monitor. In a blaze of sizzle and sparks the monitor follows your trireme to it's doom, your head in your hands, you choke out a few desperate words...wtf happened?!?!...my caravel...my settler...my sunny day...arrrggg...(sniff)
What did happen?
Well, a ship that in the real world has a statistical chance of seeing your caravel about as great as that robin landing on your window sill just did so, and does so every time. Every time you're hauling caravans, every time you're moving troops by sea, if there's a ship there, it sees you. It should have about one chance in 10 of seeing you. One chance in 2 of seeing you next to coastline, or within X amount of spaces from a coastal city where coastal small craft and fishing boats increase the odds of detection.
What happened to the sunny day? Sudden climate changes do to global warming created a temperature inversion which brough warm moist air from the gulf...well never mind...
The horizon is three miles out. The ocean is endless in comparison.
Then, from nowhere, a storm cloud appears, cutting out the sun. Hark, who goes thar? It's another caravel, the only other caravel on the entire ocean, and it sees yours, attacks and sinks it. A peal of thunder cracks outside your window, a stunned Robin drops dead in your lap. A cloudbust and a gust of wind throws the curtains on the floor by your feet, the burst of rain sprays across your monitor. In a blaze of sizzle and sparks the monitor follows your trireme to it's doom, your head in your hands, you choke out a few desperate words...wtf happened?!?!...my caravel...my settler...my sunny day...arrrggg...(sniff)
What did happen?
Well, a ship that in the real world has a statistical chance of seeing your caravel about as great as that robin landing on your window sill just did so, and does so every time. Every time you're hauling caravans, every time you're moving troops by sea, if there's a ship there, it sees you. It should have about one chance in 10 of seeing you. One chance in 2 of seeing you next to coastline, or within X amount of spaces from a coastal city where coastal small craft and fishing boats increase the odds of detection.
What happened to the sunny day? Sudden climate changes do to global warming created a temperature inversion which brough warm moist air from the gulf...well never mind...
The horizon is three miles out. The ocean is endless in comparison.
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