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Random international politics prediction thread
Too much sex and technology, not enough politics on the main page 
Based on my amazing, complex and deep analysis of the situation at-hand... okay, not that; pure gut feeling:
1) EU is going to screw up the negotiations with Iran somehow: no progress being made, Iran lies all the time.
2) China grows more aggressive towards Taiwan but doesn't risk any major wars within the next four years, US economy becomes increasingly dependant from China because of massive debts.
Any thoughts? Any other predictions?
Based on my amazing, complex and deep analysis of the situation at-hand... okay, not that; pure gut feeling:
1) EU is going to screw up the negotiations with Iran somehow: no progress being made, Iran lies all the time.
2) China grows more aggressive towards Taiwan but doesn't risk any major wars within the next four years, US economy becomes increasingly dependant from China because of massive debts.
Any thoughts? Any other predictions?