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Ecthy
Civilization II MultiplayerApolytoners Hall of FameSpanish Civers
Emperor
Mar 2000
time: 09:09
28-09-2008 16:36
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Landslide election results in Austria, Bavaria Support Apolyton, buy Call to Power 2


In Austrian national elections, two far-right parties have gained a total of just under 30% of the vote as exit polls suggest. At the same time, both of the traditionally largest parties (social democrats, christian conservatives) have dropped below 30% individually, possibly perpetuating the grand coalition (imho).

http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/europe/7639805.stm

quote:
Austria's Social Democrats look set to win the most votes in an early election but far right parties have made significant gains, projections show.

Preliminary estimates as polls closed at 1500 GMT showed the far right Freedom Party with 18% of the vote.

The Social Democrats led with 29%, while the conservative People's Party were at 25%.

The elections were called after an 18-month-old Social Democrat coalition with the People's Party collapsed.

Polling samples conducted for Austrian TV suggested the far right party, the Alliance for Austria's Future, also did well, winning 12% of the vote, with the Greens taking 10.5%.

For the first time in an EU country, 16 and 17-year-olds were able to vote. This bloc represented about 200,000 of the 6.3 million-strong electorate.

Last edited by Ecthy on 28-09-2008 at 16:42

Heraclitus
DiploGamesPolyCast Team
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Slovenia
Sep 2007
time: 09:09
28-09-2008 16:41
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Freedom Party

Ecthy
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Mar 2000
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28-09-2008 16:41
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At the same time, in Bavarian regional elections, the decades-long ruling party CSU (christian social union, state-wide sister of the national CDU or christian democrats) has dropped below 50% and reached a lifetime low of 43% this sunday. It thus loses an absolute majority it has held for decades and will either have to pick a coalition partner or lose government to a 4-party government of social democrats (19%), free democrats (pro-market) and "free voters", a joint movement of largely local forces. The newly-found Left party that had gained ground in German regional parliaments lately atfer its founding in 2007 has not made it into the Bavarian diet, failing the 5% threshold closely at a mere 4.7%.

http://www.spiegel.de/politik/deuts...,580977,00.html

Ecthy
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Mar 2000
time: 09:09
28-09-2008 16:46
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quote:
Originally posted by Heraclitus
Freedom Party


Austria has two options: a renewal of the former right-wing coalition under the people's party (ÖVP, conservatives) with the FPÖ and the BZÖ as partners. This is unlikely for the split between the two far-right parties' leaders.

The other option is the continuation of the grand coalition which would just perpetuate the rise of the far right.

Riesstiu IV
King
Nov 2003
time: 02:09
28-09-2008 16:59
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What would you say has caused gains for the far-right?

OneFootInTheGrave
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Kuzelj
Nov 2000
time: 08:09
28-09-2008 17:05
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they wanted more freedom, so they voted for freedom party, this sort of voting behavior is not endemically American...

and letting 16 & 17yo to vote move it to 21 or 25 and not down to 16?!?

BeBro
Emperor
of the Krauts
Mar 2000
time: 09:09
28-09-2008 18:43
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quote:
Originally posted by Riesstiu IV
What would you say has caused gains for the far-right?


I have no idea, but out of my ass I just say a mix of populism and fearmongering. Maybe Wernazuma can tell us.

Ecthy
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Mar 2000
time: 09:09
28-09-2008 18:59
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Can't be the grand coalition alone, since Austria has had those for decades before.

Let me take a guess: the conservative party failed to modernize. All over Europe the social democrats are struggling, but in most cases to the benefit of the conservatives or stronger left leaning parties. But then this approach is very generalizing, and a view from an insider would be most welcome.

Lazarus and the Gimp
Emperor
Howling at the moon
Aug 2000
time: 08:09
28-09-2008 19:20
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Re: Landslide election results in Austria, Bavaria Avatar Enlargement: We've got the solution


quote:
Originally posted by Ecthy
In Austrian national elections, two far-right parties have gained a total of just under 30% of the vote as exit polls suggest. At the same time, both of the traditionally largest parties (social democrats, christian conservatives) have dropped below 30% individually, [/q]



Landslide?

Riesstiu IV
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Nov 2003
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28-09-2008 19:41
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quote:
Originally posted by BeBro


I have no idea, but out of my ass I just say a mix of populism and fearmongering. Maybe Wernazuma can tell us.


Do far-right still hate teh Jews are have they moved on the Gypsies and Turks?

Ecthy
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Mar 2000
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28-09-2008 19:43
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Re: Re: Landslide election results in Austria, Bavaria Put an end to popups!


quote:
Originally posted by Lazarus and the Gimp

Landslide?


Both aspects of the result are unexpected in comparison to both the diet's composition before the election as well as latest polls. It's a landslide gain for the far right.

Lazarus and the Gimp
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Aug 2000
time: 08:09
28-09-2008 19:58
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That's what you get when you give kids the vote. Deep down, they're all nazis.

BeBro
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Mar 2000
time: 09:09
28-09-2008 20:01
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quote:
Originally posted by Riesstiu IV


Do far-right still hate teh Jews are have they moved on the Gypsies and Turks?


There are lots of targets for aspiring ultra right wingers these days, like leftists, Gypsies, muslims, Americans, or the EU. Jews are probably still the classic, but some time ago them ultra right wingers killed so much that they now don't have many left to hate.

See how stupid they are? If they were smart they would just whine about teh Joos oppressing the world like militant Islamists whine about the great shaitan USA! As long as they don't destroy the US they always have plenty to whine about. That's intelligent whine-management.


Heraclitus
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28-09-2008 20:17
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I think they are. There is no way they can get rid of a billion Muslims around the world and 70 million Muslims in Europe.

Traianvs
BtS Tri-League
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Belgium, land of plenty (corruption)
Jan 2000
time: 09:09
28-09-2008 21:05
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quote:
Originally posted by Riesstiu IV


Do far-right still hate teh Jews are have they moved on the Gypsies and Turks?


Not the Jews in particular, but just about all foreign people, whatever origin those people have.


Surprisingly Haider's BZÖ is relatively moderate. BZÖ is an offshoot of the FPÖ that Haider created in 2005 after intense intra-party disagreement. On top of that the conservaties were struggling with the FPÖ as well. FPÖ officials even openly discredited and laughed at them iirc. Haider made the best of a bad job and quit the party in favour of his new BZÖ which is equally populistic, but amazing as it may seem it is decidedly the lesser evil in Austria. Another surprising element is that in contrast to Le Pen in France, and the likes of Dewinter in Flanders Haider managed to reinvent himself. After his demise in 2005 (FPO left government in 2006 I believe) he was considered a political corpse. Somehow (I haven't followed Austrian politics that closely) he retained his charisma and rallied voters again.

More importantly I dispute Ecthy's term landslide. 30% is a lot, but remember that in '99 FPÖ single handedly gained 27% (thx wikipedia ). In fact the two parties merely split the voters. Austria has an inherent extremist right base, so it doesn't come as much of a surprise.

It's possible Haider and BZÖ will make a comeback.

Current leader of FPÖ Heinz-Christian Strache has elevated xenophobism, populism and demagoguery to a new level out there. He learned from Haider and increased the hatespeech a notch.

That said, it's not a party anyone else would want to have a coalition with. Too extremist for everyone except BZÖ but they're not on good terms. Maybe the greens would be the alternative, and a good one I might add!
Then again it's Austria, and I wouldn't hope too much for that...

Heraclitus
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Sep 2007
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29-09-2008 04:53
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quote:
Originally posted by Traianvs

Austria has an inherent extremist right base, so it doesn't come as much of a surprise.



We shoulndn't be suprised considering who the most famous Austrian of history is...




I think the Allies made a big mistake after WW2 in not forcing Austria to deal with its Nazi history like they did with Germany.

This has allowed them to pretend like they don't have any blood on their hands and even entertain delusions that they where the first "victim" of Nazism.

Ecthy
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29-09-2008 09:18
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quote:
Originally posted by Traianvs
More importantly I dispute Ecthy's term landslide. 30% is a lot, but remember that in '99 FPÖ single handedly gained 27% (thx wikipedia ). In fact the two parties merely split the voters. Austria has an inherent extremist right base, so it doesn't come as much of a surprise.


This is a matter of interpretation. In the elections of 2004, the far right was down to 15%. It's wrong to speak of an inherent extremist base if the results are oscillating like that. What they have is a large amount of undecided, disillusioned voters who may vote for extremists in one election, support a moderate party or abstain in another.

Also, as indicated in the OP, noneof the latest polls predicted a result like this. The far right parties were projected to gain abut 20% altogether.

Ecthy
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Mar 2000
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29-09-2008 09:23
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Anyway, looks like Bavaria will get a "normal" bourgeois government of christian conservatives and free democrats. Meanwhile, the "greatest columnist of all times" and former German secretary of state has called the free voters' alliance a far-right threat to the conservatives, comparable to the Austrian extremist parties. Good morning Mr Fischer.

Ecthy
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Mar 2000
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29-09-2008 09:25
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Bavaria. Clear landslide.


Ecthy
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Mar 2000
time: 09:09
29-09-2008 09:26
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Austria. No landslide?

Traianvs
BtS Tri-League
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Belgium, land of plenty (corruption)
Jan 2000
time: 09:09
29-09-2008 14:40
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Bleh, it depends on what you compare it with. Compared to 2006 yes. Then again that's because it was crystal clear that FPÖ party members were incompetent nitwits and ÖVP found it impossible to reason with nationalist right. Evidently they got peppered in the 2006 elections, and rightly so.

We all know that, sadly, voters have a short memory, and the people who naturally leaned to the extreme right reverted to their standard disposition in the current elections. Of course the fact that SPÖ as well as ÖVP were destroying the household by meddling all the time helped. The standard voters who were disilliusioned fell into Strache's / Haider's trap of seeing these two represent the common man.

It would be a landslide if the extremist right were to be contained. Clearly that's not what happened, and it's plunged Austrian politics into some nasty coalition juggling.

Strache has claimed chancelorship - though nobody seems to understand on what basis but he has made himself impossible to everyone else with his hatespeech. The greens are too weak themselves to get a majority with either SPÖ or ÖVP. SPÖ and ÖVP can't really form a grand coalition because they have obviously been beaten in these elections, and they've been rolling on the floor fighting for the past few years anyway.

Kingmaker will be Haider once again.

Ecthy
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29-09-2008 15:15
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Look, at least they have a country to speak of.

Traianvs
BtS Tri-League
King
Belgium, land of plenty (corruption)
Jan 2000
time: 09:09
29-09-2008 16:17
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What do you mean?

Ecthy
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Mar 2000
time: 09:09
29-09-2008 22:11
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Yours will be gone soon, everyone knows this.

Riesstiu IV
King
Nov 2003
time: 02:09
29-09-2008 22:11
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Does Germany plan on annexing Belgium again? Third time is the charm as they say.

Ecthy
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29-09-2008 22:18
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No need to, they've been dissolving themselves anyway.

Traianus, the 1999/2000 election result was also a landslide, you can't compare to that one. 2006 was normal.

Lancer
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29-09-2008 22:18
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Etchy, what flavor 'far right' parties are these? The kind that like to spread the word in tanks or spend less on social programs?

Ecthy
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29-09-2008 22:20
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No political party could seriously suggest spreading the word in tanks. These usually play on racist tendencies and attack immigrants and other minority groups.

Lancer
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Oregon Coast, USA! or Bohol, Philippines!
Apr 1999
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29-09-2008 22:33
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Not being able to safely walk the streets at night is a huge change for a european country. I can see politicos taking advantage of that. You guys need workers you should open up immigration to Philippinos.

Traianvs
BtS Tri-League
King
Belgium, land of plenty (corruption)
Jan 2000
time: 09:09 </